Recruiting skilled workers is becoming ever more difficult and costly. This applies to a large number of technical professions, including those involving of development, planning and quality assurance.1 The difficulty of attracting younger people into non-technical professions (e.g. patient care) is well documented, with far-reaching consequences for Germany’s competitiveness and innovative strength.
Demographic trends will continue to present a significant decline in the supply of labor in the coming years. The working-age population will fall by 3.5 million people by 2035 and by 4.4 million by 2040 (see chart).2 This is equivalent to 7% and 10% of the current workforce. Low birth rates in Germany and Europe are exacerbating the situation. Even the influx of workers from abroad will not be sufficient to make up the shortfall. And all the while, the demand for specific qualifications will increase.
Globalization and decarbonization, increasing mechanization, digitalization and the use of artificial intelligence are already changing the nature of work, and will do so even more in the future. Companies are placing new demands on their employees, in particular requiring them to have mastery of digital skills. As a result, potential shortages of labor in general, and of skilled workers in particular, will continue to become more acute.
Computers and computer-controlled machines can support a wide range of activities and thus achieve significant increases in performance. As a result, digital technologies offer more and more opportunities to mitigate emerging labor and skill shortages. According to the Institut für Arbeitsmarktforschung (Institute for Labor Market Research), around 60 percent of human activities in skilled occupations can be substituted by the use of digital technologies.
This not only brings about productivity increases but also a sensible and desirable reduction in workload, which has the added benefit of creating (technically) more attractive working environments in which the performance of routine tasks can be delegated to technology. This is also important in attracting and recruiting well-qualified newcomers and offering them opportunities for professional development.
We present here some selected technologies from Fraunhofer IGD that show what is already possible today – and how the working world of tomorrow will change.